Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cavalier		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.40	3.10
	2.02	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.33
	2.09	3.39	3.38	Watch
	2	3.05	3.25
	2.02	3.28	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavalier
44.6%

Draw
27.6%

Tivoli Gardens
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

26.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavalier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Wright R. ⚽,
36', Thomas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Atkinson D. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Gallimore J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion - Premier League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 2.

Cavalier is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tivoli Gardens has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cavalier is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cavalier has recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:13 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cavalier against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tivoli	7	3	2	2	14:8	6	11
6	Cavalier	6	3	1	2	9:9	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Cavalier - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cavalier FC
Jamaica National Premier League
19.10.26	Molynes United - Cavalier	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Cavalier - Montego Bay United	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Mount Pleasant - Cavalier	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cavalier - Arnett Gardens	3:2 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
17.09.26	Mount Pleasant - Cavalier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
18.10.26	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	3:0 ✺
12.10.26	Tivoli Gardens - Racing United	3:4 ✺
04.10.26	Tru-Juice - Tivoli Gardens	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
03.05.26	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2
25.01.26	Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens	1:2
05.10.25	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2
03.04.25	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	1:1
30.01.25	Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
03.11.24	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	1:1
22.01.24	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:0

Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens