Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cavalry		HFX Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.00	6.75
	1.30	4.85	7.50
	1.26	5.59	9.85
	1.38	4.89	7.39	Watch
	1.24	5.50	9.75
	1.37	4.74	7.90	Watch
	1.31	4.90	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	5.07 ↑ (4.37)	8.11 ↑ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavalry
70.4%

Draw
18.2%

HFX Wanderers
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.3%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

20.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Cavalry aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for HFX Wanderers aligns with the current prediction.

Cavalry - HFX Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ingham N. (G) 16. Pearlman A. 4. Klomp D. 55. Didic A. 5. Fewo 8. Paton H. 6. Baldisimo M. 7. Musse A. 10. Camargo S. (C) 20. Ntignee G. 9. Warschewski T.	1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 2. Linder F. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 7. Telfer R. 6. Callegari L. 5. Olguin L. 22. Zitman S. 8. Johnston I. (C) 20. Ciccarelli T. 23. Arilla M.
Substitutes
17. Edwards N. 14. Elva C. 11. Herdman J. 21. Holliday J. (G) 24. Kobza E. 15. Laing L. 28. Myroniuk N.	12. Astridge S. (G) 14. Bahamboula J. 33. Hassan I. A. 24. Kachwele C. 18. Rampersad A. 11. Reid A. 17. Troisi F.
Coaches
Wheeldon T.	Sartini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ntignee G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Warschewski T. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Musse A. 🟨,
65', Paton H. ↓, Kobza E. ↑,
66', Zitman S. ↓, Kachwele C. ↑,
70', Ciccarelli T. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
70', Arilla M. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Johnston I. ⚽,
78', Camargo S. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑,
78', Musse A. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
82', Baldisimo M. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
90', Olguin L. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
90+6', Klomp D. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.

Cavalry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HFX Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

HFX Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cavalry is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cavalry ✔	25	16	5	4	51:19	32	53
6	HFX Wanderers	25	7	6	12	38:42	-4	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cavalry FC
Canadian Championship
13.07.26	Cavalry - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
08.07.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Cavalry	4:1 ✺
Canadian Premier League
04.07.26	Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry	0:3 ✺
10.06.26	Inter Toronto - Cavalry	1:5 ✺
06.06.26	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWW
- HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
05.07.26	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa	1:3 ✺
26.06.26	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	5:2 ✺
10.06.26	Forge - HFX Wanderers	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
06.06.26	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	2:0
13.09.25	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	3:1
09.08.25	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	0:0
14.06.25	HFX Wanderers - Cavalry	1:1
10.05.25	HFX Wanderers - Cavalry	0:3
12.10.24	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	2:1
10.08.24	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	3:2

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