Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Starlight Stadium (Langford, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pacific FC		HFX Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.40	2.20
	2.55	3.45	2.45
	2.82	3.65	2.30
	2.79	3.82	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.20
	2.71	3.54	2.40	Watch
	2.70	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.81)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	2.3 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacific FC
34%

Draw
25.9%

HFX Wanderers
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.6%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacific FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Melvin S. (G) 7. Chung K. (C) 5. Quintana J. 4. Konincks D. 15. Greco-Taylor C. 16. Gomulka T. 66. Juhmi R. 10. Bustos M. 8. Daniels A. 64. Toualy Y. R. 27. Kratt R.	12. Astridge S. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 2. Linder F. 7. Telfer R. 6. Callegari L. 5. Olguin L. 22. Zitman S. 8. Johnston I. (C) 14. Bahamboula J. 11. Reid A.
Substitutes
11. Belluz J. 6. Browning Lagerfeldt L. 9. Diaz A. 12. Heard J. 1. Himaras E. (G) 99. Hundal S. 37. Vales M.	1. Carducci M. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 33. Hassan I. A. 27. Pierre N. 18. Rampersad A. 16. Sow K. 17. Troisi F.
Coaches
Dunfield T.	Sartini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Konincks D. (Own goal),
34', 1 - 1, Gomulka T. ⚽, Toualy Y. R. (A),
37', Zitman S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
48', Quintana J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Callegari L. ⚽, Linder F. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Chung K. ⚽, Toualy Y. R. (A),
60', Reid A. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
66', Bahamboula J. 🟨,
72', Daniels A. ↓, Vales M. ↑,
72', Kratt R. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Telfer R. ⚽,
79', Johnston I. ↓, Sow K. ↑,
79', Zitman S. ↓, Troisi F. ↑,
83', Bustos M. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
83', Toualy Y. R. ↓, Belluz J. ↑,
83', Gomulka T. ↓, Browning Lagerfeldt L. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Konincks D. ⚽,
90', Olguin L. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
90+1', Bahamboula J. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 3, Konincks D. ⚽, Vales M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

HFX Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pacific won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	HFX Wanderers	25	7	6	12	38:42	-4	27
8	Pacific FC	24	2	8	14	30:52	-22	14

Last Results with these Odds

HFX Wanderers - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacific FC
Canadian Premier League
22.08.26	Forge - Pacific FC	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Vancouver FC - Pacific FC	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Pacific FC - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Pacific FC - Supra du Québec	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Atlético Ottawa - Pacific FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLL
- HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
22.08.26	HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Inter Toronto - HFX Wanderers	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	HFX Wanderers - Forge	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	HFX Wanderers - Supra du Québec	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
05.07.26	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	1:2
26.06.26	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	5:2
18.04.26	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	2:2
20.09.25	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	3:0
16.08.25	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	2:2
12.07.25	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	3:2
19.04.25	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	3:1

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