Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	16:00	OneSoccer, TSN 4
Usa	16:00	Fox Soccer Plus


	Cavalry		Vancouver FC

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.70	4.10
	1.64	3.80	4.70
	1.74	3.80	4.96
	1.68	4.06	4.47	Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.90
	1.69	3.88	4.59	Watch
	1.65	3.70	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)	3.74 ↓ (4.16)	4.62 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavalry
55.1%

Draw
24.8%

Vancouver FC
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cavalry's form might have worsened.

Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavalry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-3%)

Cavalry - Vancouver FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ingham N. (G) 16. Pearlman A. 4. Klomp D. (C) 55. Didic A. 5. Fewo 24. Kobza E. 6. Baldisimo M. 7. Musse A. 9. Warschewski T. 20. Ntignee G. 14. Elva C.	1. Irving C. (C) 3. Doner M. 5. Campagna M. 30. Field T. 23. Proctor K. 4. Ssewankambo I. 8. Toomey L. 11. Traore A. 17. Fotsing E. 10. Amissi M. 14. Campbell T.
Substitutes
19. Antoniuk O. 17. Edwards N. 35. Graham-Roache O. 18. Henry M. 21. Holliday J. (G) 15. Laing L. 28. Myroniuk N.	2. Gee P. 16. Lee B. 20. Mezquida N. 6. Pecile D. 21. Polisi M. 26. Rassak C. 33. Regitnig H. (G)
Coaches
Wheeldon T.	Nash M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Musse A. ⚽, Elva C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Pearlman A. ↓, Edwards N. ↑,
65', Traore A. ↓, Polisi M. ↑,
65', Toomey L. ↓, Pecile D. ↑,
72', Ntignee G. ↓, Laing L. ↑,
79', Fotsing E. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
80', Warschewski T. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
90+8', Polisi M. 🟥,

Preview

Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Vancouver FC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Cavalry is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry has recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:16 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cavalry against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:10 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cavalry	28	18	6	4	58:23	35	60
5	Vancouver FC	28	10	7	11	39:37	2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cavalry FC
Canadian Premier League
17.10.26	Cavalry - Pacific FC	4:2 ✺
12.10.26	HFX Wanderers - Cavalry	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Inter Toronto - Cavalry	0:0 ✺
30.09.26	Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Cavalry - Supra du Québec	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTTLW
- Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League
16.10.26	Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Supra du Québec - Vancouver FC	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Vancouver FC - Forge	1:1 ✺
23.09.26	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Pacific FC - Vancouver FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
29.08.26	Cavalry - Vancouver FC	1:0
24.07.26	Vancouver FC - Cavalry	1:0
17.05.26	Vancouver FC - Cavalry	0:2
18.10.25	Vancouver FC - Cavalry	2:2
17.08.25	Cavalry - Vancouver FC	5:4
13.07.25	Vancouver FC - Cavalry	0:0
Canadian Championship
08.07.25	Cavalry - Vancouver FC	1:2 penalties

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