The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vancouver FC 50.8%
Draw 25.1%
HFX Wanderers 24.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.8%
26.9%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
27.2%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver FC's performance.
HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HFX Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HFX Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Vancouver FC (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver FC (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Irving C. (C) 3. Doner M. 5. Campagna M. 30. Field T. 23. Proctor K. 4. Ssewankambo I. 8. Toomey L. 7. Bah E. 17. Fotsing E. 10. Amissi M. 14. Campbell T.
1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 16. Sow K. 33. Hassan I. A. 22. Zitman S. 5. Olguin L. 25. MacKenzie L. 8. Johnston I. (C) 23. Arilla M. 14. Bahamboula J.
Substitutes
2. Gee P. 16. Lee B. 20. Mezquida N. 9. Mousset L. 21. Polisi M. 33. Regitnig H. (G) 11. Traore A.
12. Astridge S. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 4. Deng J. 18. Rampersad A. 11. Reid A. 37. Trestrail C. 17. Troisi F.
Coaches
Nash M.
Sartini V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Bah E. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Olguin L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bah E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
46', MacKenzie L. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
53', Ssewankambo I. 🟨,
65', Hassan I. A. ↓, Troisi F. ↑,
66', Campbell T. ↓, Mousset L. ↑,
69', Reid A. 🟨,
71', Ssewankambo I. ↓, Polisi M. ↑,
72', Fotsing E. ↓, Lee B. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Campagna M. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
81', Arilla M. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
81', Zitman S. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
84', Toomey L. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
88', Olguin L. ↓, Deng J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Vancouver FC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Vancouver FC is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:22 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vancouver FC against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Vancouver FC
28
10
7
11
39:37
2
37
7
HFX Wanderers
28
7
7
14
44:50
-6
28
Last Results with these Odds
Vancouver FC - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
HFX Wanderers - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.