Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Willoughby Community Park Stadium (Langley, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	CBC Gem, OneSoccer


	Vancouver FC		Forge

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	3.60	3.50	1.88
	3.34	3.40	2.19
	3.59	3.54	1.99	Watch
	3.55	3.35	1.95
	3.14	3.55	2.13	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.15)	3.4 ↑ (3.15)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver FC
27.7%

Draw
27.2%

Forge
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vancouver FC - Forge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Forge will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Irving C. (C) 3. Doner M. 5. Campagna M. 30. Field T. 23. Proctor K. 16. Lee B. 21. Polisi M. 8. Toomey L. 7. Bah E. 14. Campbell T. 11. Traore A.	36. Bontis D. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 55. James M. 6. Paton B. 19. Borges T. (C) 23. Aromatario A. 22. Jensen N. 87. Bourgeois M. 90. Cavallini L. 12. Filion M.
Substitutes
19. Bibishkov M. 17. Fotsing E. 2. Gee P. 20. Mezquida N. 18. Powell T. 26. Rassak C. 33. Regitnig H. (G)	32. Bruno Z. 33. Grant C. (G) 14. Johnson L. 17. Massunda H. 7. Oketokoun I. 26. Sadek A. 9. Wright B.
Coaches
Nash M.	Smyrniotis B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, James M. ⚽, Filion M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lee B. ↓, Fotsing E. ↑,
62', Filion M. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
62', Borges T. ↓, Sadek A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Doner M. ⚽, Campbell T. (A),
68', Toomey L. 🟨,
78', Cavallini L. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Toomey L. ↓, Rassak C. ↑,
84', Traore A. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
84', Jensen N. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
84', Cavallini L. ↓, Oketokoun I. ↑,
86', Mezquida N. 🟨,
90+1', Bourgeois M. ↓, Wright B. ↑,
90+6', Campbell T. ↓, Bibishkov M. ↑,
90+8', Polisi M. 🟨,

Preview

Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 1.

In recent outings, Vancouver FC has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Forge shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Forge could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Forge is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:24 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vancouver FC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 4:12 goals (averaging 0.6:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Forge ✔	24	14	6	4	38:20	18	48
4	Vancouver FC	25	9	6	10	35:33	2	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League
23.09.26	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Pacific FC - Vancouver FC	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vancouver FC - Supra du Québec	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Cavalry - Vancouver FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TTLWL
- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
19.09.26	Cavalry - Forge	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
15.09.26	Forge - Supra du Québec	1:0 ✺
Canadian Premier League
12.09.26	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Forge - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
01.09.26	Supra du Québec - Forge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
07.08.26	Forge - Vancouver FC	0:1
01.07.26	Forge - Vancouver FC	3:2
12.04.26	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:1
04.10.25	Forge - Vancouver FC	1:1
22.08.25	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:1
05.07.25	Forge - Vancouver FC	2:1
15.06.25	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:2

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