Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Cavenago Fanfulla		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4.05	6.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.82)	3.95 ↑ (3.2)	6.8 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavenago Fanfulla
64%

Draw
22.8%

Pistoiese
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavenago Fanfulla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cavenago Fanfulla's performance.

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavenago Fanfulla than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavenago Fanfulla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Fanfulla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pistoiese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fanfulla is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fanfulla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fanfulla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Cavenago Fanfulla
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.03.24	Imolese - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Borgo San Donnino	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Forlì - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Certaldo	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Sammaurese - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.03.24	Borgo San Donnino - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Pistoiese - Prato	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Certaldo - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Pistoiese - Imolese	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Progresso - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
26.11.23	Pistoiese - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:0
19.03.23	Cavenago Fanfulla - Pistoiese	0:2
13.11.22	Pistoiese - Cavenago Fanfulla	3:0

Cavenago Fanfulla - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide