The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Certaldo 33.4%
Draw 31.1%
Pistoiese 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
31.6%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
30.9%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Certaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Gozzerini M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Akammadu F. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
Certaldo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Certaldo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Certaldo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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