Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Cavese		Siracusa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.15
	2.29	3.12	3.22
	2.23	3.13	3.14	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.19	3.02	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)	3.07 ↓ (3.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
41.3%

Draw
29.8%

Siracusa
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cavese - Siracusa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. (C) 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 11. Diarrassouba A. 5. Awua T. 10. Fella G. 28. Macchi M. 24. Orlando F. 82. Fusco G.	22. Farroni A. (G) 33. Zanini M. 4. Sapola M. 5. Pacciardi F. 3. Cancellieri D. 27. Ba R. 20. Gudelevicius E. 10. Parigini V. 28. Frisenna G. 19. Valente N. (C) 14. Contini G.
Substitutes
8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 27. Loreto C. 20. Maiolo F. 14. Pelamatti A. 18. Piana L. 7. Sorrentino D. 4. Suplja E.	21. Alma G. 23. Catena E. M. 77. Di Paolo S. 13. Falla R. 6. Frosali J. 24. Limonelli C. 30. Morreale M. 2. Puzone M. 96. Sylla A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Zanini M. ↓, Puzone M. ↑,
35', Valente N. 🟨,
45+3', Parigini V. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 0 - 1, Parigini V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Orlando F. ⚽,
57', Luciani A. 🟨,
61', Macchi M. ↓, Loreto C. ↑,
61', Fusco G. ↓, Guida A. ↑,
62', Fella G. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
67', Nunziata F. 🟨,
75', Ba R. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,
78', Sorrentino D. 🟨,
85', Diarrassouba A. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
87', Frisenna G. ↓, Limonelli C. ↑,
87', Valente N. ↓, Di Paolo S. ↑,
90+3', Evangelisti N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cavese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
07.12.25	Cavese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Casertana - Cavese	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cavese - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
17.11.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Cavese - Potenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTW
- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Siracusa - Foggia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Siracusa - Altamura	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Picerno - Siracusa	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Siracusa - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.19	Cavese - Siracusa	2:0
03.11.18	Siracusa - Cavese	3:1
Italian Serie D - Group I
24.04.16	Cavese - Siracusa	1:1

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