Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Casertana		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.15	3.9
	2.02	3.15	4.15
	1.98	3.22	3.81	Watch
	1.96	3.1	4.23	Watch
	1.96	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	4.06 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
47.3%

Draw
29.8%

Cavese
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Casertana - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 4. Kontek I. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 8. Proia F. (C) 16. Pezzella S. 25. Toscano M. 94. Liotti D. 9. Kallon Y. 91. Vano M.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. (C) 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 5. Awua T. 23. Munari D. 27. Loreto C. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 82. Fusco G.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 20. Bentivegna A. 90. Casarotto M. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 6. Heinz J. 10. Leone K. 12. Merolla E. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 22. Vilardi A. (G)	8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 13. Evangelisti N. 10. Fella G. 21. Fornito G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 14. Pelamatti A. 4. Suplja E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Orlando F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Awua T. 🟨,
50', Amerighi I. 🟨,
56', Orlando F. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Llano Massa M. T. ⚽,
65', Proia F. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Pezzella S. ⚽,
72', Luciani A. 🟨,
73', Kallon Y. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
74', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Oukhadda S. ↑,
77', Nunziata F. ↓, Guida A. ↑,
78', Toscano M. 🟨,
81', Bacchetti L. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Vano M. ⚽,
87', Sorrentino D. ↓, D'Incoronato F. ↑,
87', Luciani A. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,
87', Awua T. ↓, Barone M. ↑,
89', Kontek I. ↓, Heinz J. ↑,
89', Toscano M. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 4.

Casertana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cavese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Casertana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Casertana is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.25	Sorrento - Casertana	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Monopoli - Casertana	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Casertana - Catania	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Salernitana - Casertana	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Casertana - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTLW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Cavese - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
17.11.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Cavese - Potenza	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Picerno - Cavese	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cavese - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.25	Cavese - Casertana	1:0
21.10.24	Casertana - Cavese	1:0
21.03.21	Casertana - Cavese	2:1
29.11.20	Cavese - Casertana	0:1
29.02.20	Casertana - Cavese	2:0
20.10.19	Cavese - Casertana	0:0
30.12.18	Cavese - Casertana	1:2

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