Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 14

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
World	FIFA+


	Foggia		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.98	2.22
	3.66	3.03	2.17
	2.95	3.16	2.37	Watch
	3.38	2.94	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.95)	3.03 ↓ (3.16)	2.23 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
27.9%

Draw
30.5%

Cavese
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Foggia - Cavese Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cavese will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cavese: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Morelli G. 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 14. Panico C. 18. Oliva M. 8. Garofalo V. 47. Pazienza O. 99. D'Amico F. 19. Byar N. 11. Fossati D.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 5. Awua T. 23. Munari D. 28. Macchi M. 11. Diarrassouba A. 16. Ubaldi L. 82. Fusco G.
Substitutes
26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 27. Borbei A. (G) 40. Castaldi G. 5. Castorri G. 3. Felicioli G. 10. Ilicic M. 22. Magro F. (G) 77. Olivieri E. 54. Pellegrino G. 25. Staver C. 17. Sylla Y. 24. Valietti F. 92. Winkelmann T.	8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 70. D'Incoronato F. 13. Evangelisti N. 10. Fella G. 21. Fornito G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 27. Loreto C. 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 24. Orlando F. 14. Pelamatti A. 7. Sorrentino D. 4. Suplja E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Diarrassouba A. 🟨,
15', D'Amico F. 🟨,
23', Luciani A. 🟨,
32', Ubaldi L. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Fusco G. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
59', Macchi M. ↓, Loreto C. ↑,
65', Fossati D. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
65', Byar N. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
74', Pazienza O. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
76', Diarrassouba A. ↓, Orlando F. ↑,
76', Amerighi I. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,
81', Panico C. ↓, Olivieri E. ↑,
81', Oliva M. ↓, Castorri G. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Foggia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cavese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cavese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
09.11.25	Foggia - Benevento	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Potenza - Foggia	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Crotone - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.25	Foggia - Altamura	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Casarano - Foggia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLLW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
07.11.25	Cavese - Potenza	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Picerno - Cavese	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cavese - Crotone	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cavese - Trapani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
16.03.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:1
04.11.24	Cavese - Foggia	2:1
14.03.21	Foggia - Cavese	1:0
15.11.20	Cavese - Foggia	0:1

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