Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Renzi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Foggia		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.00	3.10	3.25	Watch
	2.59	2.96	3.12
	2.37	3.12	2.9	Watch
	2.55	2.75	3.05
	2.52	3.19	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)	3.03 ↑ (3.03)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
38.9%

Draw
30.3%

Cavese
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Foggia - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Saro G. (G) 33. Azarovs T. 21. Berra F. 3. Seck M. 2. Todisco G. 14. Zuccon F. 4. Gallo A. (C) 10. Del Sole F. 28. Toure I. 91. Ravasio M. 79. Clerge N.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 28. Mannucci T. 25. Peretti M. (C) 17. Nunziata F. 77. Macchi M. 20. Esposito G. 5. Awua T. 11. Sava S. 24. Orlando F. 82. Fusco G. 7. Minaj E.
Substitutes
56. Chiara E. 8. Coulibaly M. 6. Di Pasquale D. 16. Haoudi H. 18. Luciani P. 29. Merdji Y. 37. Ngana V. 7. Oviszach E. 17. Panico G. 51. Parisy C. 19. Rinaldo M. 80. Testa A. (G)	9. Alberti T. 2. Asiatico P. 22. Bertini M. (G) 62. D'Amore F. 8. Diarrassouba A. 10. Fella G. 47. Fiorin G. 1. Juwer R. (G) 61. Maiolo F. 33. Personeni M. 15. Ponziglione I. 46. Severino G. 4. Visconti E.
Coaches
Auteri G.	Masitto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Orlando F. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Sava S. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
44', Esposito G. 🟨,
45+2', Toure I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Esposito G. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
62', Clerge N. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
62', Zuccon F. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
66', Fusco G. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
70', Del Sole F. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
71', Diarrassouba A. 🟨,
77', Macchi M. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
77', Orlando F. ↓, D'Amore F. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Ravasio M. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.

In recent outings, Foggia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cavese shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Foggia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Foggia has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Foggia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.3:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cavese	11	4	3	4	20:18	2	15
13	Foggia	11	4	2	5	11:13	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Cavese - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.7%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.26	Giugliano - Foggia	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Foggia - Potenza	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Nuova Cosenza - Foggia	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Foggia - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Inter U23 - Foggia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.26	Cavese - Casarano	5:2 ✺
12.10.26	Barletta - Cavese	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Cavese - Casertana	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cavese - Savoia	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Potenza - Cavese	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.03.26	Cavese - Foggia	0:0
17.11.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:0
16.03.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:1
04.11.24	Cavese - Foggia	2:1
14.03.21	Foggia - Cavese	1:0
15.11.20	Cavese - Foggia	0:1

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