Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		América RN

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.8	4
	2	2.75	4
	1.96	2.75	3.9
	2.02	2.66	4.15
	1.8	3.2	4
	2.03	2.99	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.54)	2.86 ↑ (2.71)	3.96 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
45.8%

Draw
31.5%

América RN
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

33.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

34.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América RN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América RN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Caxias - América RN Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 60%). América RN will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Caxias is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América RN is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caxias will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
13.08.22	Caxias - Noroeste	1:0 penalties ✺
07.08.22	Noroeste - Caxias	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Caxias - Osasco Sporting	2:1 penalties ✺
24.07.22	Osasco Sporting - Caxias	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Caxias - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTW
- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
13.08.22	Moto Club de São Luís - América RN	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	América RN - Moto Club de São Luís	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	América RN - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
24.07.22	Jacuipense - América RN	0:1 ✺
16.07.22	Sousa - América RN	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTWW

Caxias - América RN

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Caxias - América RN Predictions

Preview

Form

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