Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.77	2.95	4.75
	1.55	3.2	6.7
	1.58	3.15	5.6
	1.61	3.15	5.94
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.59	3.44	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.07)	3.18 ↑ (2.62)	5.51 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
55.2%

Draw
28.4%

Noroeste
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

33.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

32.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noroeste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Caxias - Noroeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Noroeste will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Caxias is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Noroeste is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Caxias is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.22	Noroeste - Caxias	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Caxias - Osasco Sporting	2:1 penalties ✺
24.07.22	Osasco Sporting - Caxias	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Caxias - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Grêmio Juventus - Caxias	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTWW
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.22	Noroeste - Caxias	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Anápolis - Noroeste	3:1 penalties ✺
23.07.22	Noroeste - Anápolis	5:2 ✺
16.07.22	Noroeste - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
09.07.22	Caldense - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.08.22	Noroeste - Caxias	1:1

Caxias - Noroeste