Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grêmio Juventus		Caxias

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.8	2.05
	4.1	2.55	2.1
	3.6	2.8	2.01
	4.09	2.52	2.12
	3.75	2.7	2.1
	3.8	2.93	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.48)	2.72 ↑ (2.49)	2.08 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Juventus
23.5%

Draw
33.1%

Caxias
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

36.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

37.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caxias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Grêmio Juventus - Caxias Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Grêmio Juventus will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Caxias will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caxias: 11.9% – 76.9%.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Caxias will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio Juventus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio Juventus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.22	Próspera Criciúma - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Azuriz - Grêmio Juventus	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	FC Cascavel - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Grêmio Juventus - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWWLT
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.22	Aimoré - Caxias	1:1 ✺
25.06.22	Caxias - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Caxias - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
12.06.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	2:1 ✺
04.06.22	Caxias - Próspera Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
23.04.22	Caxias - Grêmio Juventus	1:0
04.09.21	Caxias - Grêmio Juventus	1:1
06.06.21	Grêmio Juventus - Caxias	1:1

Grêmio Juventus - Caxias