Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Cayón		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.4	1.7
	4.91	3.56	1.72
	4.85	3.55	1.67	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.7
	4.41	3.68	1.75
	5	3.4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.87)	3.48 ↑ (3.39)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
19.6%

Draw
26.3%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

26.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-2%)

Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Gandara M. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Gomez D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Cayón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Torrelavega is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Torrelavega may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Torrelavega is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.12.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cayón - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Colindres - Cayón	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Cayón - Selaya	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Laredo - Cayón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWW
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
07.12.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Montañas del Pas	5:0 ✺
23.11.25	Escobedo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Vimenor	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cartes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.24	Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2
10.12.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.04.21	Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0
27.10.19	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón	0:0

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