Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Cayón		Naval Reinosa

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.8	3.05
	1.9	4.08	2.85
	1.94	4.17	3
	1.88	3.76	3.32
	1.96	3.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.57)	3.92 ↓ (4.05)	3.05 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
47.1%

Draw
23.2%

Naval Reinosa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cayón's form might have worsened.

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naval Reinosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cayón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naval Reinosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cayón - Naval Reinosa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Naval Reinosa (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Naval Reinosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Chus Laredo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Alvarez C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Cayón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naval Reinosa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cayón is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cayón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Atlético Mineros Reocín - Cayón	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Cayón - Monte	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Cayón - Bezana	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Cayón - Colindres	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLW
- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Naval Reinosa - Bezana	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Revilla - Naval Reinosa	2:4 ✺
18.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Colindres	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Castro - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Siete Villas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.01.25	Naval Reinosa - Cayón	0:3
02.04.23	Naval Reinosa - Cayón	1:0
04.12.22	Cayón - Naval Reinosa	2:2

Cayón - Naval Reinosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide