Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Cayón		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.05	3.25	2.1
	3	2.95	2.3
	3.23	3.13	2.3
	3.13	3.18	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.16)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
29.6%

Draw
29.8%

UD Logroñés Promesas
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

22%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cayón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cayón - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Cayón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches UD Logroñés Promesas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cayón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

UD Logroñés Promesas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.11.21	Gernika - Cayón	3:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cayón - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
31.10.21	Sestao - Cayón	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cayón - Racing Santander B	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Náxara - Cayón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.11.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Ardoi - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:2 ✺
30.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Rioja	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Burgos Promesas - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:3 ✺
16.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTWT

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