Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Gernika		Cayón

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	6
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.55	4.9
	1.7	3.26	5.89
	1.61	3.7	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	5.51 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
57.2%

Draw
26.2%

Cayón
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Gernika - Cayón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gernika is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cayón is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.11.21	Peña Sport - Gernika	0:2 ✺
31.10.21	Gernika - Ardoi	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Racing Rioja - Gernika	4:3 ✺
16.10.21	Gernika - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTT
- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.11.21	Cayón - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
31.10.21	Sestao - Cayón	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cayón - Racing Santander B	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Náxara - Cayón	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Peña Sport - Cayón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTT

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