Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Cazalegas		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	6.7	3.7	1.45
	7.64	4.02	1.41
	7.48	3.88	1.44
	7	3.75	1.44
	7.65	3.75	1.42
	7.5	4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.33 ↑ (6.49)	3.85 ↑ (3.58)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cazalegas
12.4%

Draw
23.7%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

25.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

24.6%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Gonzales P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Luquin H. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Malano ⚽,

Preview

Cazalegas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Calvo Sotelo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Calvo Sotelo is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cazalegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cazalegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.12.25	Cazalegas - Villacañas	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	San Clemente - Cazalegas	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Illescas - Cazalegas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cazalegas - Manchego	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Villarrobledo - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Huracán Balazote	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Guadalajara B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Azuqueca - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.01.25	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1
08.09.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Cazalegas	3:0
10.03.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Cazalegas	1:0
22.10.23	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0

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