Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Cañuelas		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.87
	2.15	3	3.3	Watch
	2.31	3	3.28
	2.31	3	3.28
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.31	3.03	3.15
	2.32	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.66)	2.97 ↓ (3.55)	3.15 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
40.1%

Draw
30.8%

UAI Urquiza
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

26.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cañuelas's form might have worsened.

UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UAI Urquiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cañuelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Ismael Aguirre G. M. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Fernandez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Pavon S. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
14.04.24	Colegiales - Cañuelas	4:0 ✺
08.04.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Cañuelas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Deportivo Flandria - Cañuelas	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
13.04.24	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	UAI Urquiza - Acassuso	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.09.23	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	2:1
21.05.23	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	2:0
01.10.22	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	0:1
04.06.22	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	2:1
28.11.21	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	1:2
07.08.21	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	0:2
28.03.21	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	4:1

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