Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Colegiales		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.87	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.97	3.05	4.09
	1.97	3.05	4.09
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.95	3.12	4.06
	1.94	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.26)	3.07 ↑ (2.95)	4 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
47.5%

Draw
29.7%

Cañuelas
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colegiales's performance.

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Colegiales - Cañuelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Polizzotto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Villacorta F. ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Machado M. ⚽,
76', Frias N. 🟥,
81', 4 - 0, Cancio J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 5.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Cañuelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colegiales is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Colegiales won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
08.04.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Colegiales	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Colegiales - Deportivo Merlo	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Sacachispas - Colegiales	1:4 ✺
16.03.24	Colegiales - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Acassuso - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWWL
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
08.04.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Cañuelas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Deportivo Flandria - Cañuelas	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.07.23	Cañuelas - Colegiales	1:2
19.03.23	Colegiales - Cañuelas	3:0
09.07.22	Cañuelas - Colegiales	0:1
12.03.22	Colegiales - Cañuelas	1:0
23.10.21	Colegiales - Cañuelas	2:0
26.06.21	Cañuelas - Colegiales	2:0

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