Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 9

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Cañuelas		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.55	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.63	2.81	3
	2.64	2.78	3
	2.62	2.88	2.6
	2.6	2.91	2.8
	2.55	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.93)	2.83 ↓ (3.16)	2.83 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
35.4%

Draw
32.3%

Villa San Carlos
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cañuelas's form might have worsened.

Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa San Carlos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cañuelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa San Carlos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cañuelas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Frias N. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Machin L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Ojeda U. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 8 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 1.

Cañuelas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villa San Carlos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cañuelas is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
17.03.24	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Cañuelas - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Liniers - Cañuelas	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Cañuelas - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Deportivo Armenio - Cañuelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWWL
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
16.03.24	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Villa San Carlos - Sacachispas	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.07.23	Villa San Carlos - Cañuelas	1:1
25.03.23	Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos	1:1
11.06.22	Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos	0:0
12.02.22	Villa San Carlos - Cañuelas	1:0
17.07.21	Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos	3:0
06.03.21	Villa San Carlos - Cañuelas	1:1
Argentinian Primera C
19.05.19	Cañuelas - Villa San Carlos	1:0

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