Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Monumental de Villa Lynch (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	UAI Urquiza		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	2.58	2.78	Watch
	2.92	2.52	2.88
	2.59	3.03	2.70	Watch
	2.92	2.69	2.69
	2.42	2.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.42)	2.71 ↓ (2.87)	2.81 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UAI Urquiza
33.3%

Draw
33.9%

Sacachispas
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Rodriguez V. 2. Ordonez C. 6. Postel F. 3. Ferrara J. 8. Menendez N. 5. Madero P. 7. Arcuri L. 10. Sciacqua S. 9. Caceres P. 11. Ingratti J.	1. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 4. Barreiro E. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Buonofiglio A. 3. Cruz A. 8. Monje A. 5. Molina D. 10. Hector Canteros 11. Torres L. 7. Martinez J. 9. Campuzano C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Menendez N. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
40', Torres L. 🟨,
42', Ordonez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Madero P. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Arcuri L. ⚽,
60', Molina D. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
67', Barreiro E. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
75', Torres L. ↓, Cristaldo J. ↑,
75', Buonofiglio A. ↓, Moschen E. ↑,
77', Ingratti J. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
78', Arrieta S. 🟨,
86', Viain I. 🟥,
86', 🟥,
87', Arcuri L. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
88', Sciacqua S. ↓, Bottini A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

UAI Urquiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

UAI Urquiza - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
29.09.25	Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	UAI Urquiza - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
15.09.25	Villa San Carlos - UAI Urquiza	3:0 ✺
08.09.25	UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Sportivo Italiano - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLLT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
26.09.25	Sacachispas - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Acassuso - Sacachispas	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.06.25	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:1
19.08.24	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:0
30.03.24	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	1:0
29.07.23	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	3:1
03.04.23	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:0
21.08.21	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	2:2
11.04.21	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	3:4

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