Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Ceilândia)


	Ceilândia		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.3
	2.18	2.88	3.3
	2.16	2.75	3.88
	1.41	4.17	7.48	Watch
	2.18	2.95	3.32
	2.22	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	4.07 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
46.3%

Draw
30.4%

Barra Santa Catarina
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Cordeiro Nunes K. L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Ceilândia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceilândia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Ceilândia - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Água Santa - Ceilândia	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Ceilândia - Goianésia	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Goiânia - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTT
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Barra Santa Catarina - FC Cascavel	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	FC Cascavel - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	São Luiz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL

Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide