The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceilândia 21.8%
Draw 31.9%
Gama 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
29.4%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
29.5%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gama than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ceilândia - Gama Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB, 1st Half - Gama (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gama (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 2.
In recent matches, Ceilândia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gama is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Gama has had a series of home games.
In this match, Gama is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
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