Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finalsDate: 20 June 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Ceilândia |
|
Luverdense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.00 |
2.70 |
|
 |
3.00 |
2.75 |
2.40 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.15 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.54 |
2.88 |
2.89 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.50 |
2.99 |
2.99 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(3.25) |
2.92 ↑
(2.9) |
2.76 ↑
(2.28) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceilândia
35.7% | Draw
31.3% | Luverdense
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceilândia's performance.Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luverdense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilândia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Ceilândia - Luverdense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Pedro Bortoluzo ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Marquinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 2, Borges D. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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