Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Ceilândia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ceilândia		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	6	3.4	1.67
	5	2.95	1.75
	6.82	3.25	1.69
	6.24	3.15	1.7	Watch
	5	3.2	1.73
	5.56	3.34	1.74
	5	2.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (4.57)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
16.5%

Draw
29.3%

Coritiba
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

28.3%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Ceilândia - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Edmar Sucuri (G) 6. Badhuga 5. Batista de Oliveira J. C. 11. Clemente L. 7. Cordeiro Nunes K. L. 3. Euller Viana 13. Felipe Camargo 19. Matheus 21. Nando 2. Paulinho 23. Pedro Bambu	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 49. Dellatorre 37. Everaldo 8. Filipe Machado 19. Gomez S. 16. Joao Vitor 11. Lucas Ronier 13. Rafinha (C) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 14. Thalisson 36. Vini Paulista
Substitutes
30. Costa G. 20. Danillo Ribeiro 1. Elias (G) 15. Julio Cesar 8. Lagoa 14. Menezes 10. Milla 12. Pablo 18. Rafael Sayao 4. Wallace 17. Wisman	67. Benassi (G) 22. Felipe Guimaraes 2. Fracchia M. 5. Geovane 38. Geovane Meurer 91. Gustavo Coutinho 10. Josue 3. Maicon 18. Matheus Bianqui 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 23. Tiago Coser 57. Wesley Pomba

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Vini Paulista ↓, Josue ↑,
26', Euller Viana ↓, Wallace ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Clemente L. ⚽,
53', Cordeiro Nunes K. L. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
63', Danillo Ribeiro 🟨,
63', Euller Viana 🟨,
66', Gomez S. ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
66', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
67', Felipe Camargo 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Clemente L. ⚽,
73', Nando ↓, Pablo ↑,
73', Matheus ↓, Rafael Sayao ↑,
76', Joao Vitor ↓, Fracchia M. ↑,
76', Everaldo ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
86', Cordeiro Nunes K. L. ↓, Milla ↑,
86', Pedro Bambu ↓, Lagoa ↑,
90+1', Rafael Sayao 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Matheus Bianqui ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Filipe Machado (Pen),
1, Milla (Pen),
2, Gustavo Coutinho (Pen),
2, Rafael Sayao (Pen),
3, Rafinha (Pen),
3, Lagoa (Pen),
4, Lucas Ronier (Pen),
4, Wallace (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Ceilândia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coritiba is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceilândia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Coritiba is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
23.02.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	4:1 ✺
17.02.25	Ceilândia - Gama	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Legião - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Paranoá - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Ceilândia - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL
- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.02.25	Maringá - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Azuriz - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW

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