Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)


	Celaya		Chapulineros de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.61	6.27
	1.38	4.78	6.61	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.44	4.59	6.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.55 ↑ (4.2)	6.31 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
65.4%

Draw
20.1%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Celaya (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Celaya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chapulineros is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Celaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Celaya is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celaya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Racing de Veracruz - Celaya	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Deportiva Venados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Celaya - Neza	6:0 ✺
24.01.26	Dragones Toluca - Celaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWW
- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.02.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Racing de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Neza - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Dragones Toluca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:0

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