Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Chapulineros de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.54	5.21	4.07
	1.66	4.91	3.54	Watch
	1.57	4.6	4
	1.54	4.75	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	4.87 ↑ (4.02)	3.94 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
58%

Draw
18.8%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

22.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

19.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Chiapas's performance.

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapulineros de Oaxaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapulineros de Oaxaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaguares de Chiapas - Chapulineros de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10)

In recent matches, Chiapas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chapulineros has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chiapas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Racing de Veracruz - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Tapachula Soconusco	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza	6:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW
- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Montañeses	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Héroes de Zaci	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Racing de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas	3:2 penalties

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