Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 4
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Claro Sports
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 18, Blue Sport 18
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	HBO Max
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Celje		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.5
	5.50	4.33	1.55
	6.1	4.45	1.55
	6.05	4.66	1.54
	6	4.53	1.51	Watch
	5.9	4.55	1.48
	5.88	4.52	1.56
	5.8	4.4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (3.42)	4.46 ↑ (3.69)	1.52 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
16%

Draw
21.4%

Red Bull Salzburg
62.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celje's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Celje - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Salzburg (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Salzburg has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Salzburg is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Celje: Pisek J. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Salzburg: Aguilar E. (Muscle Injury) Chase A. (Off the roster) Matijasevic F. (Off the roster) Moser J. (Off the roster) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Veratschnig N. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Salzburg: Konate K. (Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Salzburg: 0.74% Celje: 0.4%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.10.26	Maribor - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Celje - Omonia	0:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.10.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Celje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWTL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
18.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	0:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLW

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