Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Celta de Vigo		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.37
	2.82	3.45	2.48
	2.86	3.55	2.52
	2.93	3.82	2.17	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.38
	2.98	3.53	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.59)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)	2.41 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
33.5%

Draw
26.9%

Villarreal
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	11.8%	61.8%

Celta de Vigo - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). Villarreal will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Villarreal (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 24. Dominguez C. 12. Fernandez M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 16. Roman M. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P. 15. Zaragoza B.	1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 8. Foyth J. (C) 4. Marin R. 23. Cardona S. 17. Buchanan T. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 19. Pepe N. 29. Etta Eyong
Substitutes
23. Alvarez H. 8. Beltran F. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 7. Iglesias B. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 3. Mingueza O. 6. Moriba I. 21. Ristic M. 14. Rodriguez D. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)	11. Akhomach I. 3. Altimira A. 13. Conde D. (G) 32. Lopez H. 26. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 25. Tenas A. (G) 12. Veiga R.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Pepe N. ⚽, Etta Eyong (A),
62', Zaragoza B. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
62', Duran P. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
67', Roman M. 🟨,
68', Moleiro A. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
70', Roman M. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
70', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
70', Gueye P. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
77', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
77', Etta Eyong ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
78', Buchanan T. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
85', Pepe N. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Rueda J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.

Celta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villarreal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Starfelt C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury) Perez A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
27.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Betis	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Villarreal - Girona	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Villarreal - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Arsenal - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Leeds United - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.04.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	3:0
26.08.24	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	4:3
05.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	3:2
20.12.23	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	3:2
30.04.23	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	3:1
13.01.23	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1
12.03.22	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	1:0

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