Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Premier League
Ghana	Globe TV
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Norway	VG+
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
United-kingdom	Arsenal TV


	Arsenal		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.25
	1.35	4.8	6
	1.41	4.55	6.3
	1.36	4.98	7.35
	1.44	4.70	6.45	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.65	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.7)	4.63 ↑ (3.7)	6.55 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
65.9%

Draw
20%

Villarreal
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Arsenal - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Villarreal will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 15. Kiwior J. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 22. Nwaneri E. 16. Norgaard C. 23. Merino M. 7. Saka B. (C) 14. Gyokeres V. 11. Martinelli G.	1. Junior Reis (G) 8. Foyth J. 15. Mourino S. 3. Marin R. 23. Cardona S. 19. Pepe N. 18. Gueye P. 10. Parejo D. 20. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 29. Etta Eyong
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 6. Gabriel 71. Harriman-Annous A. 28. Lokonga A. S. 20. Madueke N. 3. Mosquera C. 8. Odegaard M. 41. Rice D. 35. Setford T. (G) 12. Timber J. 17. Zinchenko O. 36. Zubimendi M.	96. Altimira A. 95. Buchanan T. 93. Cabanes P. 14. Comesana S. 13. Conde D. (G) 97. Danjuma A. 99. Gomez R. (G) 98. Navarro P. 94. Pedraza A. 6. Suarez D. 27. Valou J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Pepe N. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Etta Eyong ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Norgaard C. ⚽, Martinelli G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', White B. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
46', Norgaard C. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
46', Moreno G. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
46', Parejo D. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
55', Gueye P. 🟨,
62', Marin R. ↓, Navarro P. ↑,
62', Cardona S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
62', Etta Eyong ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
62', Junior Reis ↓, Conde D. ↑,
62', Nwaneri E. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
62', Raya D. ↓, Arrizabalaga K. ↑,
62', Saliba W. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
62', Kiwior J. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
63', Gyokeres V. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
63', Saka B. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Danjuma A. ⚽, Comesana S. (A),
76', 2 - 3, Odegaard M. (Pen),
77', Martinelli G. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
77', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,
77', Pepe N. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
77', Gueye P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
83', Foyth J. ↓, Valou J. ↑,
83', Mourino S. ↓, Altimira A. ↑,

Preview

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
Club Friendly
31.07.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Arsenal - Newcastle United	3:2 ✺
23.07.25	Arsenal - Milan	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.05.25	Southampton - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Arsenal - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Leeds United - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	St. Gallen - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Basel - Villarreal	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Villarreal - Sevilla	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.05.21	Arsenal - Villarreal	0:0
29.04.21	Villarreal - Arsenal	2:1

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