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Villarreal - Girona

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 2
  • Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Villarreal Girona
    Villarreal Girona
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.66 ↑
    (3.95)    		 7.15 ↑
    (4.73)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Villarreal
    65.4%    		Draw
    20.9%    		Girona
    13.6%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    55.9% 24% 20.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    57.7% 23% 19.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal's performance.
  • Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    85.2% 8.7% 6.1%

    Villarreal - Girona Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Villarreal (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (97 of 114 users predict this - 85.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.55% โ€“ 91.63%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (63 of 68 users predict this - 92.65%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 69 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 64 - 92.8%). Girona (votes: 1 - 1.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 5.8%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. BrazilLuiz Junior (G)
    15. UruguayMourino S.
      8. ArgentinaFoyth J. (C)
      4. SpainMarin R.
    23. SpainCardona S.
    17. CanadaBuchanan T.
    18. SenegalGueye P.
    14. SpainComesana S.
    21. SpainPino Y.
    19. IvoryPepe N.
    29. CameroonEtta Eyong
    		25. UkraineKrapyvtsov V. (G)
      2. SpainRincon H.
    12. BrazilVitor Reis
    18. CzechKrejci L.
    17. NetherlandsBlind D.
      8. SpainPortu (C)
    15. UkraineTsygankov V.
    22. ColombiaSolis Romero J. E.
    21. VenezuelaHerrera Y.
    33. SpainRoca J.
    14. MauritaniaCamara D.
    Substitutes
    11. MoroccoAkhomach I.
      3. SpainAltimira A.
    33. SpainCabanes P.
    31. SpainGomez R. (G)
    20. SpainMoleiro A.
    26. SpainNavarro P.
    10. SpainParejo D.
    16. GhanaPartey T.
    24. SpainPedraza A.
      6. SpainSuarez D.
    12. PortugalVeiga R.
    		10. ColombiaAsprilla Y.
    16. SpainFrances A.
    28. SpainJordana G.
      1. SpainJuan Carlos (G)
    11. FranceLemar T.
      5. SpainLopez D.
      4. SpainMartinez A.
    23. SpainMartin I.
    19. SpainMoreno A.
      7. UruguayStuani C.
    20. BelgiumWitsel A.
    Coaches
         SpainMarcelino G.
    		     SpainMichel

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (4 - 0)
    • 7', 1 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽,
    • 16', 2 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Mourino S. (A),
    • 25', 3 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
    • 28', 4 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Cardona S. (A),
    • 42', Herrera Y. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Comesana S. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
    • 46', Foyth J. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
    • 46', Camara D. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
    • 46', Portu ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
    • 53', Vitor Reis 🟨,
    • 56', Mourino S. 🟨,
    • 59', Krejci L. 🟨,
    • 63', Pepe N. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
    • 64', 5 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Etta Eyong (A),
    • 66', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
    • 70', Pino Y. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
    • 71', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
    • 78', Tsygankov V. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Villarreal is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Villarreal: Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury) Perez A. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Gazzaniga P. (Red Card) Ruiz A. (Thigh Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • There are questionable in Villarreal: Suarez D. (Injury)
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.4:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Villarreal CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    15.08.25 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    10.08.25 Villarreal - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    06.08.25 Arsenal - Villarreal 2:3 ✺
    02.08.25 Leeds United - Villarreal 1:1 ✺
    25.07.25 Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2
    WLWTL
    - Girona FC
    Spanish LaLiga
    15.08.25 Girona - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺
    Club Friendly
    09.08.25 Napoli - Girona 3:2 ✺
    03.08.25 Girona - Wolverhampton Wanderers 2:1 ✺
    30.07.25 Deportivo Alavรฉs - Girona 0:1 ✺
    26.07.25 Olympique Marseille - Girona 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8
    LLWWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.05.25 Girona - Villarreal 0:1
    01.12.24 Villarreal - Girona 2:2
    14.05.24 Girona - Villarreal 0:1
    27.09.23 Villarreal - Girona 1:2
    20.05.23 Girona - Villarreal 1:2
    22.01.23 Villarreal - Girona 1:0
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    26.01.21 Girona - Villarreal 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Villarreal CF
    UEFA Champions League
    03.11.26 Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain ✺
    - Girona FC
    Spanish LaLiga2
    31.10.26 Real Sociedad B - Girona ✺

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