Match Info

LaLiga - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport OTT 2, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 2, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Villarreal		Girona

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.75
	1.52	4.45	5.9	Watch
	1.52	4.6	6.7
	1.20	6.27	14.20	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5
	1.59	4.56	5.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)	4.66 ↑ (3.95)	7.15 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
65.4%

Draw
20.9%

Girona
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal's performance.

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	8.7%	6.1%

Villarreal - Girona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Villarreal (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (97 of 114 users predict this - 85.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.55% – 91.63%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (63 of 68 users predict this - 92.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 69 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 64 - 92.8%). Girona (votes: 1 - 1.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 5.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 8. Foyth J. (C) 4. Marin R. 23. Cardona S. 17. Buchanan T. 18. Gueye P. 14. Comesana S. 21. Pino Y. 19. Pepe N. 29. Etta Eyong	25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 2. Rincon H. 12. Vitor Reis 18. Krejci L. 17. Blind D. 8. Portu (C) 15. Tsygankov V. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 21. Herrera Y. 33. Roca J. 14. Camara D.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 3. Altimira A. 33. Cabanes P. 31. Gomez R. (G) 20. Moleiro A. 26. Navarro P. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 6. Suarez D. 12. Veiga R.	10. Asprilla Y. 16. Frances A. 28. Jordana G. 1. Juan Carlos (G) 11. Lemar T. 5. Lopez D. 4. Martinez A. 23. Martin I. 19. Moreno A. 7. Stuani C. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Mourino S. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
28', 4 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Cardona S. (A),
42', Herrera Y. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Comesana S. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
46', Foyth J. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
46', Camara D. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
46', Portu ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
53', Vitor Reis 🟨,
56', Mourino S. 🟨,
59', Krejci L. 🟨,
63', Pepe N. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
64', 5 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Etta Eyong (A),
66', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
70', Pino Y. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
71', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
78', Tsygankov V. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villarreal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury) Perez A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Gazzaniga P. (Red Card) Ruiz A. (Thigh Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Suarez D. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
15.08.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Villarreal - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Arsenal - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Leeds United - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
15.08.25	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Napoli - Girona	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Girona - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Olympique Marseille - Girona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Girona - Villarreal	0:1
01.12.24	Villarreal - Girona	2:2
14.05.24	Girona - Villarreal	0:1
27.09.23	Villarreal - Girona	1:2
20.05.23	Girona - Villarreal	1:2
22.01.23	Villarreal - Girona	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.01.21	Girona - Villarreal	0:1

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