The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarreal 64.6%
Draw 20%
Elche 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
19%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
18.9%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Villarreal - Elche Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 18th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.
In recent outings, Villarreal has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Elche has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Elche could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Villarreal holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:20 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villarreal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
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