Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Villarreal		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.32	3.65	2.58
	2.52	3.75	2.48
	2.49	3.74	2.50	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.38
	2.38	3.8	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
38.5%

Draw
25%

Aston Villa
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Villarreal - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aston Villa (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Junior Reis (G) 12. Altimira A. 17. Buchanan T. 33. Cabanes P. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 7. Moreno G. (C) 26. Navarro P. 24. Pedraza A. 21. Pino Y. 27. Valou J.	23. Martinez E. (C) 31. Bailey L. 10. Buendia E. 56. Jimoh-Aloba J. 44. Kamara B. 4. Konsa E. 22. Maatsen I. 45. Rowe T. 8. Tielemans Y. 14. Torres P. 11. Watkins O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Watkins O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Buendia E. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Villarreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villarreal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Arsenal - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Leeds United - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	St. Gallen - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Basel - Villarreal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLTT
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
06.08.25	Aston Villa - Roma	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Nashville SC - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	St. Louis City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.12.22	Aston Villa - Villarreal	0:1

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