Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Celta de Vigo B		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.88	3.33	4.33
	1.84	3.35	4.3
	1.82	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)	3.29 ↑ (3)	4.11 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
50.2%

Draw
27.7%

Badajoz
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Celta de Vigo B - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Celta de Vigo B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celta de Vigo B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celta de Vigo B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
04.03.23	Celta de Vigo B - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Mérida AD - Celta de Vigo B	0:3 ✺
18.02.23	Celta de Vigo B - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.03.23	Linense - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Badajoz - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Badajoz	5:0 ✺
18.02.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.22	Badajoz - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
15.05.22	Badajoz - Celta de Vigo B	1:1
04.09.21	Celta de Vigo B - Badajoz	0:0

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