Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.4
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.29	3.07	3.4
	2.24	3.1	3.26
	2.16	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)	3.25 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
41.2%

Draw
30.8%

Badajoz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

34.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Badajoz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

San Fernando - Badajoz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Fernando will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Badajoz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 3.

San Fernando is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Badajoz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.02.23	San Sebastian Reyes - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	San Fernando - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWLL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.02.23	Badajoz - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Badajoz - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Pontevedra - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.02.20	San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1
29.09.19	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:2
17.02.19	Badajoz - San Fernando	2:0
30.09.18	San Fernando - Badajoz	1:0
18.03.18	San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1
29.10.17	Badajoz - San Fernando	2:2

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