Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Central Ballester		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3
	2.9	2.9	2.45	Watch
	3.17	2.9	2.35
	3.17	2.9	2.35
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	3.21	2.88	2.37
	2.9	2.85	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.33)	2.88 ↓ (2.95)	2.39 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Ballester
30.2%

Draw
31.7%

Justo José de Urquiza
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

31.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Ballester's form might have worsened.

Justo José de Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Justo José de Urquiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Ballester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Justo José de Urquiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Central Ballester - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Ballester will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Justo José Urquiza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, Lucero F. (Pen),
30', 0 - 2, Rapp A. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Alonso A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Herschel F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Rojas M. 🟥,
63', 2 - 3, Ramirez J. (Pen),
85', 2 - 4, Rodriguez T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2).

Recent matches Central Ballester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Justo José de Urquiza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Justo José de Urquiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
10.04.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Central Ballester	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Argentino de Rosario - Central Ballester	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Central Ballester - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Central Ballester - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLT
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
10.04.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Puerto Nuevo - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWT

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