Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 8

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Central Córdoba		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.87
	4.6	3.3	1.82	Watch
	4.8	3.46	1.88
	4.3	3.33	1.93
	4.2	3.2	1.95
	4.69	3.24	1.89	Watch
	4.3	3.35	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.34 ↑ (3.18)	1.87 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
21.2%

Draw
28.3%

Vélez Sársfield
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Córdoba's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	20.5%	59%

Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 45% – 76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 13. Barrios R. 15. Rak Y. 24. Laquidain S. 19. Rivero L. 10. Cabrera E. 5. Vazquez K. A. (C) 88. Sanchez L. 21. Segovia A. 11. Godoy M. 18. Angulo L.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 24. Guidara T. 2. Mammana E. 23. Pernicone P. 3. Gomez E. 32. Ordonez C. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 20. Pizzini F. 22. Aquino C. 27. Fernandez T. 9. Braian Romero
Substitutes
22. Aragon F. 8. Atencio R. 7. Benitez M. 17. Casermeiro Y. 12. Cuevas L. (G) 36. Gomez J. 3. Marchi L. 20. Martinez F. 4. Pillud I. . 27. Quagliata N. 14. Trindade G. 9. Varaldo L.	45. Bussio F. 35. Caseres S. 37. Cavanagh T. 42. Garzon L. (G) 21. Gordon J. 14. Lagos A. 36. Montoro A. 11. Pellegrini M. 6. Quiros A. 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M. 18. Vecino T.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽,
38', Mammana E. 🟨,
45+5', Bouzat A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aquino C. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
51', Mammana E. 🟨,
53', Fernandez T. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
54', Quiros A. 🟨,
65', Rak Y. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
65', Segovia A. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Pizzini F. ⚽, Ordonez C. (A),
73', Braian Romero ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
73', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
73', Angulo L. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
87', Lagos A. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
90+4', Pellegrini M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 28 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 1.

Recent matches Central Córdoba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vélez will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Montoya L. (Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez D. (Injury) Gomez V. (Injury) Gordillo Y. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Córdoba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.24	Tigre - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Central Córdoba - Platense	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.07.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.24	Argentinos Juniors - Central Córdoba	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Central Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLWLL
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.24	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
14.06.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.06.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.06.24	Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.23	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	4:0
25.10.22	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.21	Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.12.20	Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.11.19	Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
Copa Argentina
17.07.18	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:2 penalties

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