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Current Win Probability
Central Córdoba 24.5%
Draw 27.6%
Vélez Sársfield 47.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.3%
30.1%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
29.7%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
12.5%
62.5%
Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 29% – 96%.
1. Aguerre A. (C) 20. Martinez F. 42. Pignani J. 2. Maciel A. R. 23. Caceres D. 22. Vera M. 32. Garrido N. 28. Sequeira L. 10. Iacobellis M. 11. Tijanovich H. 27. Santos M.
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 11. Pellegrini M. 22. Lanzini M. 37. Policella J. 77. Martinez R.
Substitutes
7. Barrera D. 55. Cardozo J. 17. Casermeiro Y. 47. Cuitino M. 13. Gomez J. 44. Ibanez J. 3. Marchi L. 33. Moyano S. 41. Ramirez T. 30. Rodriguez F. 43. Santillan I. 25. Vallejos J. (G)
39. Aguirre T. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 21. Gordon J. 30. Piola L. 23. Sanguinetti F. (G) 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Schelotto G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Pellegrini M. ⚽, Martinez R. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Iacobellis M. ↓, Barrera D. ↑,
55', Pignani J. ↓, Moyano S. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Martinez R. ⚽, Policella J. (A),
61', 0 - 4, Robertone L. ⚽,
62', Policella J. ↓, Aguirre T. ↑,
62', Pellegrini M. ↓, Escobar S. ↑,
75', Santos M. ↓, Cuitino M. ↑,
75', Tijanovich H. ↓, Ramirez T. ↑,
78', Robertone L. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
78', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
82', Maciel A. R. 🟥,
83', 0 - 5, Martinez R. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Martinez R. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
87', Aliendro R. 🟥,
88', Sequeira L. ↓, Santillan I. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Córdoba won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Central Córdoba (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Vélez have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Central Córdoba may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vélez holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Central Córdoba has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:18 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Central Córdoba against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.3:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Vélez Sársfield - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Hong Kong
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Caceres D. 
Santos M. 
Baeza C. 
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