Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Ireland	Shabake 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Philippines	Matchday+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Central Coast Mariners		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	5	4	1.54	Watch
	5.45	4.6	1.52
	5.5	4.49	1.51	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.5
	4.74	4.5	1.62	Watch
	4.8	4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (3.25)	4.32 ↑ (3.4)	1.54 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
18%

Draw
21.6%

Johor Darul Takzim
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.3%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Johor Darul Takzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Johor Darul Takzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Central Coast Mariners - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Users Predictions: Johor Darul Takzim will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 15. Roux S. 4. Sainsbury T. (C) 3. Kaltack B. 12. Mauragis L. 23. Di Pizio M. 36. Eames H. 16. Steele H. 21. Faisal A. 99. Edmondson R. 10. Mikael Doka	58. Zubiaurre A. (G) 5. Amat J. 23. Israfilov E. 27. Gonzalez A. 42. Aiman A. 24. Arribas O. 17. Mesa R. 10. Viera J. 30. Insa N. (C) 9. Bergson 37. Heberty
Substitutes
37. Brandtman B. 35. De Lima A. 24. Herrington D. 9. Kuol A. 27. Kuzevski S. 43. Paragalli M. 1. Pavlesic A. (G) 44. Scicluna L. 7. Theoharous C. 11. Vitor Feijao 30. Warshawsky J. (G)	1. Abad Amat C. (G) 77. Akmal N. 22. Corbin-Ong L. 2. Davies M. 21. Faiz N. 4. Fazail A. 80. Hakimi D. 16. Hazmi S. (G) 33. Jese 19. Morales R. 99. Obregon J. 3. Saad S.
Coaches
Jackson M.	Bidoglio H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mesa R. ↓, Fazail A. ↑,
34', Edmondson R. ↓, Kuol A. ↑,
34', Kaltack B. 🟨,
40', Sainsbury T. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
45+2', Peraic-Cullen D. 🟥,
45+5', Di Pizio M. ↓, Pavlesic A. ↑,
45+5', Mauragis L. ↓, Kuzevski S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Faisal A. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Aiman A. (A),
69', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Kuol A. ⚽, Kaltack B. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Heberty (A),
83', Amat J. 🟨,
88', Bergson ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
89', Mikael Doka ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
90+2', Kuzevski S. 🟨,
90+7', Israfilov E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Central Coast is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Johor in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Central Coast could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Central Coast have a series of guest games.

In this match Johor is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
07.02.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
24.01.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTTW
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Super League
05.02.25	Johor Darul Takzim - PDRM FA	4:0 ✺
Malaysian Cup
01.02.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Terengganu FA	2:1 ✺
Malaysian Super League
25.01.25	Terengganu FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:1 ✺
Malaysian Cup
17.01.25	Terengganu FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:4 ✺
Malaysian Super League
11.01.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Sabah FA	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

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