The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perth Glory 56.1%
Draw 24.2%
Central Coast Mariners 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
25.8%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.9%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Glory's performance.
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Coast Mariners might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Glory that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Coast Mariners could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.1%
4.5%
11.4%
Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Central Coast (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Perth Glory will win
(37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Perth Glory will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 17 - 85%). Central Coast (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Sutton M. (G) 2. Shamoon C. A. 45. Kaltack B. 4. Wootton S. 3. Sutton S. 20. Ostler T. 18. Bozinovski R. 39. De Abreu G. 7. Pennington N. 22. Taggart A. (C) 34. Lawrence T.
30. Redmayne A. (G) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. (C) 16. Steele H. 8. McCalmont A. 37. Brandtman B. 6. Eames H. 10. Di Pizio M. 5. Mauragis L. 11. James Ngor S.
Substitutes
10. Amos L. 5. Foxe R. 27. Kuzamba T. 15. Lisolajski Z. 16. Popovic G. 17. Sulemani A. 40. Warner R. (G)
50. Ajanovic J. (G) 22. De Lima A. 14. Duarte N. 9. Edmondson R. 24. Herrington D. 20. Kennedy W. 7. Theoharous C.
Coaches
Griffiths A.
Moon W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pennington N. ⚽, Shamoon C. A. (A),
32', Roux S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Taggart A. ⚽, Lawrence T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Lawrence T. ⚽,
58', James Ngor S. 🟨,
61', Steele H. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
61', Brandtman B. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
61', Roux S. ↓, Kennedy W. ↑,
70', Ostler T. ↓, Sulemani A. ↑,
70', Lawrence T. ↓, Amos L. ↑,
74', Sutton S. ↓, Lisolajski Z. ↑,
84', Kennedy W. 🟨,
84', Taggart A. ↓, Popovic G. ↑,
84', Bozinovski R. ↓, Kuzamba T. ↑,
84', Eames H. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
87', Amos L. 🟨,
87', James Ngor S. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 1.
In recent matches, Perth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Central Coast's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Perth is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cook C.
(Knee Injury)
Despotovski S.
(Calf Injury)
Kucharski J.
(Injury)
Lisolajski Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Timmins C.
(Injury)
Wales L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Central Coast: Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).