Match Info

A-League - Round 5

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.45	5.4	Watch
	1.6	4.34	5.07
	1.56	4.45	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4.47	6.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	4.41 ↓ (4.45)	5.65 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
61.8%

Draw
21.5%

Central Coast Mariners
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Central Coast will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Central Coast (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Western Sydney (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney (votes: 6 - 75%). Central Coast (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 31. Simmons A. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 4. Bonetig A. 3. Gersbach A. 8. Ugarkovic S. 25. Brillante J. 32. Thurgate A. 23. Kraev B. 9. Barbarouses K. 45. Kuol A.	30. Redmayne A. (G) 3. Paull N. 26. Tapp B. (C) 15. Roux S. 5. Mauragis L. 11. James Ngor S. 16. Steele H. 8. McCalmont A. 37. Brandtman B. 14. Duarte N. 10. Di Pizio M.
Substitutes
24. Barrie N. 17. Carluccio J. 2. Cleur G. 21. Hammond A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 39. Lual A. 5. Scicluna D.	50. Ajanovic J. (G) 22. De Lima A. 2. Donachie J. 9. Edmondson R. 21. Faisal A. 20. Kennedy W. 7. Theoharous C.
Coaches
Stajcic A.	Moon W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Kraev B. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Mauragis L. ⚽, Brandtman B. (A),
11', 2 - 1, Barbarouses K. ⚽,
23', 3 - 1, Barbarouses K. (Pen),
39', 3 - 2, McCalmont A. (Pen),
45+1', Brandtman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Steele H. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
53', Pantazopoulos A. 🟨,
55', Simmons A. 🟨,
65', Brandtman B. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
65', Duarte N. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
69', Simmons A. ↓, Cleur G. ↑,
69', Brillante J. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
74', Di Pizio M. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
78', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
85', James Ngor S. ↓, Faisal A. ↑,
90+1', Carluccio J. 🟨,
90+2', Barbarouses K. ↓, Lual A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 2.

In this match, Western Sydney is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Central Coast: Eames H. (Injury) Herrington D. (Injury) Kennedy W. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
07.11.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Auckland FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Australian Cup
12.08.25	Heidelberg United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sydney - Central Coast Mariners	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	3:2 ✺
Australian Cup
13.05.25	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
22.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:4
17.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:3
18.02.24	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0
06.01.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	0:1
04.03.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	2:0
28.01.23	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2
05.11.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	0:3

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