Match Info

A-League - Round 9

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.65	3.27
	2.18	3.55	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.13	3.58	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.13)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	3.32 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
44.5%

Draw
27%

Central Coast Mariners
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wellington Phoenix will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 15. Hughes I. 4. James M. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 27. Sheridan M. 25. Nagasawa K. 14. Rufer A. (C) 20. Najjarine R. 11. Armiento C. 7. Eze I. 3. Piper C.	30. Redmayne A. (G) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 3. Paull N. 20. Kennedy W. 8. McCalmont A. 26. Tapp B. (C) 16. Steele H. 7. Theoharous C. 11. James Ngor S. 5. Mauragis L.
Substitutes
29. Brooke-Smith L. 37. Cassidy A. 5. Conchie F. 12. Edwards D. 40. McCarron E. (G) 8. Retre P. 39. Smith J.	37. Brandtman B. 10. Di Pizio M. 14. Duarte N. 6. Eames H. 9. Edmondson R. 24. Herrington D. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G)
Coaches
Italiano G.	Moon W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Oluwayemi J. ↓, McCarron E. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Piper C. ⚽, Nagasawa K. (A),
41', McCalmont A. ↓, Di Pizio M. ↑,
45+6', 1 - 1, James Ngor S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, James M. (Penalty Awarded),
52', 3 - 1, Armiento C. ⚽, Piper C. (A),
58', Kennedy W. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
59', Theoharous C. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
75', Eze I. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
84', Herrington D. 🟨,
84', James Ngor S. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
84', Steele H. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
90+3', Najjarine R. ↓, Retre P. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wellington has had a series of home games.

Wellington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H. (Injury) Mileusnic N. (Injury) Payne T. (Inactive) Retre P. (Abdominal strain) Supyk L. (Injury) Walker N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Central Coast: Eames H. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
13.12.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
12.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Sydney	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
02.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1
24.01.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:0
10.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	0:3
06.04.24	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	2:1
05.02.24	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:0
24.02.23	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1
21.01.23	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	2:1

Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide