Match Info

A-League

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kelly S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	13:00	Paramount+
India	07:30	FanCode, FanCode
United Kingdom	02:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Usa	22:00	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.80	4.20
	1.79	3.80	3.85
	1.8	4.05	4.46
	1.77	3.98	4.32	Watch
	1.74	3.9	4.35
	1.83	3.9	4.31	Watch
	1.74	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)	3.88 ↓ (3.97)	4.29 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
53.6%

Draw
24.4%

Central Coast Mariners
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gray H. (G) 27. Sheridan M. 28. Tuiloma B. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 23. McGarry J. 7. Duke B. 8. Anderson M. 14. Rufer A. (C) 25. Nagasawa K. 99. Piper C. 9. Duran R.	30. Redmayne A. (G) 51. Mckibbin T. 3. Herrington D. 12. McCann N. 5. Mauragis L. 72. Auglah A. 8. Donnell C. (C) 37. Brandtman B. 6. Eames H. 39. Bolton A. 9. Lavale O.
Substitutes
11. Bidois R. 34. Gardiner D. 30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 24. Loke T. 35. Mitchell L. 5. Scott W. 17. Walker N.	50. Ajanovic J. (G) 43. Becvinovski L. 22. De Lima A. 45. Mantell J. 46. McCaskey C. 41. Mutokoyi S. 42. Naylor M.
Coaches
Greenacre C.	Hutchinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bolton A. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Duran R. ⚽, Sheridan M. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Piper C. ⚽, Nagasawa K. (A),
59', Auglah A. 🟨,
61', Eames H. ↓, Mantell J. ↑,
62', Mckibbin T. ↓, Becvinovski L. ↑,
62', Brandtman B. ↓, Mutokoyi S. ↑,
70', Duran R. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
72', Auglah A. ↓, Naylor M. ↑,
84', Duke B. ↓, Walker N. ↑,
84', Piper C. ↓, Mitchell L. ↑,
90+2', Mutokoyi S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.

Wellington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Wellington is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Wellington: Conchie F. (Inactive) Hughes I. (Inactive) Smith J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Central Coast: Popovic K. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wellington has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:28 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wellington against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix	2	2	0	0	4:1	3	6
9	Central Coast Mariners	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Wellington Phoenix: 5.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
17.10.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWLW
- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
17.10.26	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.26	Central Coast Mariners - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:4 ✺
Australian Cup
22.07.26	Sydney United - Central Coast Mariners	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian A-League
25.04.26	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
20.12.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	3:1
02.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1
24.01.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:0
10.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	0:3
06.04.24	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	2:1
05.02.24	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:0
24.02.23	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1

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