Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 3

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports


	Central Español		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.33
	1.64	3.50	4.60
	1.49	3.9	6.52
	1.73	3.45	4.59	Watch
	1.47	3.75	6.2
	1.54	4.06	5.73	Watch
	1.48	3.65	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)	3.65 ↓ (3.65)	5.42 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
58%

Draw
25.1%

Oriental de La Paz
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Español, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Central Español - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Oriental will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Madruga A. 🟥,
32', 🟥,
38', 0 - 1, Motta B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, Dellarossa J. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Central Español is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.08.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Central Español	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWTWL
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
03.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Central Español	2:3
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1

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