Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Fontes K. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.40	3.00	2.85
	2.43	3.10	2.95
	2.68	3	3.06
	2.6	2.95	2.94	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.95
	2.49	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.38)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	2.9 (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
36.7%

Draw
31.4%

Central Español
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Cerro Largo - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 22. Bertocchi N. 28. Ramos N. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 25. Jourdan E. 5. Marcel S. 11. de Luca A. 18. Daguerre D. 10. Pandiani A.	1. Pintado F. (G) 17. Fernandez L. 5. Gonzalez M. 2. Rodriguez I. 26. Cesar Nunes 4. Montiel M. 24. Gandolfo G. 21. Pino L. 27. Sosa F. 30. Alonso M. 19. Sequeira S.
Substitutes
16. Acosta F. 27. Alvez F. 13. Barone B. 21. Brun S. 26. de Leon E. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 29. Lozano B. 23. Pipe 9. Piriz L. 7. Viera G.	22. Aramburu E. 12. Benitez A. (G) 3. Dupont J. 23. Gonella I. 25. Madruga A. 16. Mendez I. 77. Mereles E. 7. Munoz F. 6. Pou J. 9. Tarragona R.
Coaches
Nunez D.	Pacheco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sosa F. 🟨,
38', Jourdan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Jourdan E. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
58', Daguerre D. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
62', Alonso M. ↓, Mendez I. ↑,
73', Sosa F. ↓, Pou J. ↑,
73', Pino L. ↓, Munoz F. ↑,
73', de Luca A. ↓, Piriz L. ↑,
78', Fernandez L. 🟨,
79', Montiel M. ↓, Gonella I. ↑,
80', Sequeira S. ↓, Tarragona R. ↑,
81', Fernandez L. 🟨,
85', Garcia M. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,

Preview

Recent form of Cerro Largo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Central Español has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Español may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cerro Largo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Central Español - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.23%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLT
- Central Español
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.08.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Central Español	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.07.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	0:1
15.03.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	1:3
12.05.13	Central Español - Cerro Largo	0:0
17.11.12	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0

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