Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 16Date: 30 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Oriental de La Paz |
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Plaza Colonia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.37 |
2.70 |
3.00 |
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2.42 |
2.72 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.44 |
2.93 |
3.09 |
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 |
2.49 |
2.9 |
3.09 |
 Watch |
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2.35 |
2.75 |
2.95 |
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 |
2.42 |
2.79 |
3.03 |
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 |
2.43 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.89) |
2.79
(2.79) |
2.99 ↑
(2.69) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oriental de La Paz
37.4% | Draw
32.4% | Plaza Colonia
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental de La Paz's performance.Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental de La Paz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plaza Colonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).Oriental is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Plaza Colonia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Oriental may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Oriental has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Oriental | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 22.05.26 | Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz | 3:1 | | 24.04.26 | Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz | 2:0 | | 16.11.24 | Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia | 1:2 | | 27.07.24 | Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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