Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 2

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Oriental de La Paz		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	5.50	3.90	1.47
	5.10	3.45	1.58
	4.21	3.14	1.91
	4.38	3.29	1.8	Watch
	4.15	3.1	1.72
	4.49	3.2	1.77
	4.2	3.1	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (4.72)	3.31 ↓ (3.8)	1.72 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
19.8%

Draw
27.4%

Racing Montevideo
52.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.5%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Motta B. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Suarez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 2, Da Silva E. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Oriental have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.26	La Luz - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
30.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:0

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