Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)


	Central Norte		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	4	Watch
	2.1	2.72	3.95
	2.35	2.8	4.46
	2.2	2.69	4.2	Watch
	2.2	2.5	4
	2.23	2.72	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.36)	2.69 ↓ (2.71)	4.1 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
42.3%

Draw
34.8%

Ciudad de Bolívar
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

34.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

35.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ciudad de Bolívar (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 3. Sanz P. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 4. Rosales M. 11. Abondetto R. 8. Villarreal M. 5. Ribero M. 7. Moravec M. 10. Vedoya F. 9. Borda F.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 8. Yeri N. 5. Vega C. 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Gutierrez M. 7. Sanchez G. 9. Maciel J.
Substitutes
15. Aleo A. 19. Alvez G. 18. Bustinduy A. 14. Felissia L. 12. Hass F. (G) 20. Lopez J. 16. Lucero M. 17. Mateo J. 13. Padilla M.	14. Carrion A. 13. Chacon J. 19. Cuello E. 18. Diaz A. 20. Duarte B. 16. Fernandez T. 17. Mucignat F. 15. Quintana B. 12. Ruiz L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Martinez E. 🟨,
14', Rosales M. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Gutierrez M. ⚽,
40', Vedoya F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Moravec M. 🟨,
57', Vedoya F. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
57', Abondetto R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
62', Vega C. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
63', Gonzalez A. ↓, Mucignat F. ↑,
63', Sanchez G. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
70', Moravec M. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
70', Villarreal M. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
73', Gutierrez M. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
77', Peralta F. 🟨,
81', Rufinetti A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Central Norte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ciudad de Bolívar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Central Norte might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Central Norte - Mitre	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Central Norte - All Boys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLWW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WTWTT

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