Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	3.8	Watch
	2.22	2.62	3.8
	2.37	2.68	4.04
	2.31	2.66	3.92	Watch
	2.2	2.6	3.9
	2.26	2.75	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.65)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)	3.88 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
41.2%

Draw
34.9%

Deportivo Madryn
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

34.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

36.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	80%	10%

Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 9. Maciel J. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 3. Peralta F. 5. Vega C. 8. Yeri N.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 3. Ayala R. 5. Calleros Y. 7. Cuero M. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 8. Meli M. 11. Montagna E. 6. Ortiz N. D. 9. Servetto N. 10. Solis N. 4. Sosa A.
Substitutes
19. Caraballo K. 14. Carrion A. 13. Chacon J. 18. Cuello E. 20. Gutierrez M. 17. Mucignat F. 15. Quintana B. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 16. Sanchez G.	17. Barrientos N. 16. Cosi J. 14. Gutierrez A. 19. Machado C. 13. Martinez D. 12. Montero M. (G) 18. Ospitaleche F. . Recalde F. 20. Silba L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Paredes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Duarte B. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
62', Maciel J. ↓, Caraballo K. ↑,
62', Diaz A. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
62', Montagna E. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
72', Servetto N. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
72', Cuero M. ↓, Silba L. ↑,
78', Calleros Y. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
78', Ayala R. ↓, Recalde F. ↑,
83', Gonzalez A. ↓, Mucignat F. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Sanchez G. ⚽, Mucignat F. (A),
87', Sanchez G. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Ciudad de Bolívar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Madryn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ciudad de Bolívar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Madryn - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWTTT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.21	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
03.07.21	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0

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