Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)


	Santa Cruz Recife		ABC

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.24	3.67	Watch
	1.95	3.16	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)	3.2 ↓ (3.34)	3.69 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
46.6%

Draw
28.6%

ABC
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.3%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ABC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Santa Cruz Recife - ABC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Felipe Alves (G) . Eurico 11. Joao Diogo 7. Joao Pedro 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 6. Rodrigues 9. Thiago Galhardo 17. Thiaguinho 8. Wagner Balotelli 22. Yuri Ferraz	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 4. Bruno Bispo 17. Bruno Leite 16. Emanuel Junio 25. Ian 9. Lincom 6. Lucas Sampaio 26. Matheus Rocha 14. Wellington Reis 15. Windson
Substitutes
19. Eduardo Tanque . Hiago 2. Israel 3. Italo Melo 15. Jonatas Paulista 18. Lucas Bessa 21. Pedro Maia 12. Rokenedy (G) 4. William Alves . William Jr.	7. Anderson Rosa 13. Darlan 20. Islan 5. Lucas Goncalves 2. Lucas Mota 18. Marcos Vinicius 23. Oziel 12. Pedro Paulo (G) 21. Pedro Rhyan 3. Wendel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santa Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Cruz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:14 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.03.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Maguary - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Jaguar - Santa Cruz Recife	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWW
- ABC FC
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
29.03.25	ABC - América RN	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	América RN - ABC	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	ABC - Laguna	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Laguna - ABC	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.02.25	Olaria - ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.21	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	0:1
13.02.20	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.19	ABC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
25.05.19	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	2:1
Copa do Brasil
10.04.19	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	3:0
03.04.19	ABC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.02.19	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	1:0

Upcoming Matches